Global Conference 2014
Fallible: The Risk of Predictions and the Limits of Expertise
Tuesday, April 29, 2014 / 10:45 am - 11:45 am
Even the most sophisticated, most educated leaders are taken by surprise, again and again. Projects fail; plans fall apart. Why do we get it wrong so often? How can companies and governments recognize their own susceptibility to surprise? And how would this recognition change their decision-making process? This panel will examine how the cult of expertise can stall innovation, waste resources, mislead markets and harm people.
Moderator
Paul Kedrosky
Partner, SK Ventures; Contributing Editor, Bloomberg
Speakers
Samuel Arbesman
Senior Scholar, Kauffman Foundation; Author, "The Half-Life of Facts"
Zachary Karabell
Senior Fellow, Milken Institute; Head of Global Strategy, Envestnet
Bethany McLean
Contributing Editor, Vanity Fair
John Rohal
Executive Chairman, Man Investments, North America